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On Luck & Systems

"I know he's a good general, but is he lucky?" Napoleon Bonaparte

A month and year is presented. Decide whether the US 10-Year Treasury market yield closed up or down on three contiguous trading days.

US 10-Year Bond Yield: TNX

Three contiguous trading days are randomly chosen from the historical tape that spans January 2005 to December 2020. Humans may observe a date context, the beginning month of trading. The Bot has no concept of the date context.

Humans versus the Bot

The Bot is a random choice decision-making machine. Outplay the Bot. Be lucky, repeatedly, to top the table and claim awards.